Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Qatar — Group B, 24 June 19:00 UTC
Group B context
Both teams have one point from two matches and sit at the bottom of the group. Bosnia drew 1-1 with Canada before being swept 1-4 by Switzerland. Qatar drew 1-1 with Switzerland before a devastating 0-6 loss to Canada. Neither team has shown the consistency needed at this level, but this is their final chance.
1X2 odds comparison
| Bookmaker | Bosnia (1) | Draw (X) | Qatar (2) |
|---|---|---|---|
| bwin | 1.44 | 5.00 | 6.50 |
| William Hill | 1.44 | 4.50 | 6.00 |
| 10Bet | 1.45 | 4.65 | 6.00 |
| Unibet | 1.45 | 4.80 | 6.75 |
| MansionBet | 1.43 | 4.60 | 5.90 |
| Dafabet | 1.54 | 4.00 | 6.20 |
Odds sourced via Sportmonks on 23 June 2026. Lines may have moved since publication.
Prediction model breakdown
The model gives Bosnia 45.25%, the draw at 26.35%, and Qatar at 28.45%. The market at ~1.45 average odds implies roughly 69% for Bosnia — considerably higher than the model's 45.25%. This is one of the widest model-vs-market gaps across today's matches.
Qatar at 28.45% model probability versus ~16% implied (odds around 6.20) is a notable positive divergence for the hosts. The draw at 26.35% versus ~21% implied also leans toward being underpriced.
Additional markets
- Over/Under 2.5 goals: The model gives 46.35% to Over 2.5.
- Both Teams to Score: BTTS Yes at 50.50% — bet365 BTTS Yes at 1.90 (~53% implied), roughly in line.
- Most likely correct scores: 1-1 (12.46%), 1-0 to Bosnia (11.46%), 2-1 to Bosnia (8.95%).
By Daniel Park · Updated