Jordan vs Algeria — Group J, 23 June 03:00 UTC
Group J standings entering Matchday 2
Argentina have already secured six points from two matches (3-0 vs Algeria, 2-0 vs Austria) and are through to the knockout rounds. Austria sit on three points after beating Jordan 3-1 but losing to Argentina. Jordan and Algeria both have zero points and face elimination with another defeat.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentina | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | +5 | 6 |
| 2 | Austria | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Jordan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 |
| 4 | Algeria | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
1X2 odds comparison
| Bookmaker | Jordan (1) | Draw (X) | Algeria (2) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 6.65 | 4.40 | 1.56 |
| bet365 | 6.25 | 4.33 | 1.50 |
| BetVictor | 6.50 | 4.10 | 1.50 |
| Betfair | 6.00 | 4.40 | 1.53 |
| Sbo | 6.00 | 3.94 | 1.56 |
Odds sourced via Sportmonks on 23 June 2026. Lines may have moved since publication.
Prediction model breakdown
The model gives Jordan a 26.35% win probability, the draw at 24.40%, and Algeria at 49.25%. Algeria are clear favourites both by model and market, though the model's 49.25% is somewhat lower than the ~65% implied by the 1.53 average price. This gap suggests the market may be overvaluing Algeria's chances relative to the prediction model.
Jordan at 26.35% model probability versus approximately 16% implied by odds around 6.30 could represent a significant value angle if the model is accurate.
Additional markets
- Over/Under 2.5 goals: The model gives 52.55% to Over 2.5.
- Both Teams to Score: BTTS Yes at 54.40% model probability — bet365 BTTS Yes at 2.05 (implied ~49%), William Hill at 1.95 (~51%).
- Most likely correct scores: 1-1 (11.25%), 0-1 to Algeria (10.50%), 1-2 to Algeria (9.23%).
By Daniel Park · Updated