Morocco vs Haiti — Group C, 24 June 22:00 UTC
Group C standings entering Matchday 3
Morocco and Brazil share the lead on four points. Scotland are third on three points after beating Haiti but losing to Morocco. Haiti are eliminated with zero points and a -4 goal difference. This final round is about settling the group — Morocco face the weakest side, while Scotland face Brazil in the simultaneous kick-off.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Morocco | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 2 | Brazil | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 4 |
| 3 | Scotland | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Haiti | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 |
1X2 odds comparison
| Bookmaker | Morocco (1) | Draw (X) | Haiti (2) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 1.17 | 7.50 | 17.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.18 | 7.00 | 18.25 |
| 888Sport | 1.17 | 6.50 | 15.00 |
| Coral | 1.18 | 7.00 | 15.00 |
| MansionBet | 1.16 | 6.90 | 14.00 |
Odds sourced via Sportmonks on 23 June 2026. Lines may have moved since publication.
Prediction model breakdown
The model gives Morocco 61.00%, the draw at 22.45%, and Haiti at 16.55%. Morocco are heavy favourites, though the model's 61% is notably lower than the ~85% implied by the ~1.17 average market price. Haiti at 16.55% versus ~6% implied by odds around 16.00 shows one of the biggest model-vs-market gaps of the day.
Additional markets
- Over/Under 2.5 goals: The model is split at 50.00% Over 2.5 / 50.00% Under 2.5.
- Both Teams to Score: BTTS Yes at 47.55% — BetVictor BTTS Yes at 2.38 (~42% implied) may offer slight value.
- Most likely correct scores: 1-0 to Morocco (12.83%), other Morocco win (11.66%), 2-0 to Morocco (11.55%).
By Daniel Park · Updated