Panama vs Croatia — Group L, 23 June 23:00 UTC
Group L context
With England and Ghana both on three points and Panama and Croatia on zero, this is effectively an elimination match. Croatia arrived as one of the more experienced sides in the group but looked vulnerable in their 2-4 defeat to England. Panama showed defensive resolve against Ghana but lacked a cutting edge in attack, failing to score.
1X2 odds comparison
| Bookmaker | Panama (1) | Draw (X) | Croatia (2) |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 7.50 | 4.33 | 1.48 |
| CloudBet | 7.05 | 4.20 | 1.49 |
| Marathonbet | 7.50 | 4.20 | 1.49 |
| MelBet | 7.40 | 4.14 | 1.47 |
| Unibet | 7.50 | 4.20 | 1.48 |
Odds sourced via Sportmonks on 23 June 2026. Lines may have moved since publication.
Prediction model breakdown
The model gives Panama a 24.65% chance, the draw at 23.25%, and Croatia at 52.15%. Croatia are solid favourites at ~1.48 average odds (implied ~68%), but the model rates their actual chance at only 52.15% — a meaningful gap. Panama at 24.65% versus ~14% implied by odds around 7.40 appears to be the biggest value angle in this match.
Additional markets
- Over/Under 2.5 goals: The model gives 56.20% to Over 2.5 — consistent with Croatia's recent high-scoring results.
- Both Teams to Score: BTTS Yes at 56.70% model probability — bet365 BTTS Yes at 1.90 (~53% implied) offers slight potential value.
- Most likely correct scores: 1-1 (10.76%), other Croatia win (10.38%), 0-1 to Croatia (9.62%).
By Daniel Park · Updated