Switzerland vs Canada — Group B, 24 June 19:00 UTC
Group B standings entering Matchday 3
Switzerland and Canada are locked on four points apiece, with Bosnia on one point and Qatar on one point. Both leaders are guaranteed passage to the Round of 32, but this match determines who finishes top of the group — and gets the more favourable knockout-stage draw path.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Canada | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | +6 | 4 |
| 2 | Switzerland | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 4 |
| 3 | Bosnia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Qatar | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 1 |
1X2 odds comparison
| Bookmaker | Switzerland (1) | Draw (X) | Canada (2) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.50 | 2.92 | 3.38 |
| Betfair | 2.45 | 3.10 | 3.25 |
| MelBet | 2.45 | 2.99 | 3.20 |
| Ladbrokes | 2.45 | 3.10 | 3.00 |
| BetVictor | 2.60 | 3.10 | 2.80 |
| 1xBet | 2.54 | 3.10 | 3.34 |
Odds sourced via Sportmonks on 23 June 2026. Lines may have moved since publication.
Prediction model breakdown
The model sees this as a tight contest: Switzerland at 38.25%, draw at 29.40%, and Canada at 32.40%. The market slightly favours Switzerland at ~2.50 average odds (implied ~40%), which aligns closely with the model. The draw probability of 29.40% versus ~33% implied (odds ~3.05) suggests the market may slightly overvalue the draw.
Additional markets
- Over/Under 2.5 goals: The model gives just 37.15% to Over 2.5 — both teams may approach this cautiously given it's for first place.
- Both Teams to Score: BTTS Yes at 43.75% — 888Sport BTTS Yes at 1.80 (~56% implied) seems too short relative to the model.
- Most likely correct scores: 1-1 (13.21%), 1-0 to Switzerland (13.06%), 0-1 to Canada (11.65%).
By Daniel Park · Updated